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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Sunderland |
| 18.94% | 22.96% | 58.1% |
| Both teams to score 50.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% | 71.08% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.05% | 39.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.4% | 76.6% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.42% | 16.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.63% | 46.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 6.08% 2-1 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 2.79% 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.94% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 11.9% 0-2 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-3 @ 6.41% 1-3 @ 5.88% 0-4 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 2.64% 2-4 @ 1.21% 0-5 @ 1.04% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2% Total : 58.1% |