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EFL Cup | First Round
Jul 31, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
MK Dons

Bournemouth
5 - 0
MK Dons

Brooks (35', 83'), Solanke (47'), Billing (72'), Marcelo de Jesus Alves (80')
Solanke (73'), Zemura (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kasumu (60'), Harvie (62'), O'Hora (75'), Darling (87')

The Match

Match Report

Dominic Solanke, Philip Billing and Christian Saydee were also on target for the Cherries.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's EFL Cup clash between Bournemouth and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawMK Dons
49.43%24.17%26.4%
Both teams to score 55.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88%46.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58%68.42%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28%18.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.91%50.09%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63%31.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.26%67.74%
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 49.43%
    MK Dons 26.4%
    Draw 24.17%
BournemouthDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.84%
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 8.24%
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-0 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 49.43%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 5.87%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 6.81%
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 26.4%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs MK Dons

Bournemouth
88.7%
Draw
5.7%
MK Dons
5.7%
53