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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 35.79% | 27.63% | 36.59% |
| Both teams to score 48.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.17% | 56.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.24% | 77.76% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% | 30.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.54% | 66.46% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% | 29.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% | 65.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.78% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.58% |