Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadions Skonto
  • Antonijs Cernomordijs  39' yellowcard
  • Markuss Strods 82' goal
  • goal Vasilije Adžić 3'
  • goal Vasilije Adžić 56'
  • yellowcard Aleksa Latkovic 90'+4'

Latvia vs Montenegro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Armenia 2 - 0 Latvia

Montenegro

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Montenegro 2 - 1 Cyprus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-0 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Latvia 27.31% ▲ (+0.42)
Draw 24.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Montenegro 47.92% ▼ (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.55% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.69% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 27.31% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 48.03% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 51.97% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 27.04% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 72.96% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 15.58% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 84.42% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Latvia 20.03% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 42.61% ▲ (+0.36)
Montenegro 37.37% ▼ (-0.24)

Team To Score First

Latvia 39.16% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.62% ▲ (+0.05)
Montenegro 53.22% ▼ (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 57.08% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 31.33% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 9 45.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.73% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 42.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 34.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 10.5 65.55% ▼ (-0.07)

Latvia Goals

Over 1.5 27.03% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 72.97% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 9.38% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 90.62% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.17% ▼ (-0.04)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5 75.45% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 0.5 24.55% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 1.5 43.44% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 56.56% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 19.98% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 2.5 80.02% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 3.5 7.39% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 92.61% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Latvia 27.31%
Draw 24.78%
Montenegro 47.91%
Latvia
1-0 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 27.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.78%
Montenegro
0-1 @ 11.5% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 47.91%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 7, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Uros Durdevic 42' yellowcard
  • Nebojsa Kosovic 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vladislavs Gutkovskis 4'
  • yellowcard Roberts Uldrikis 32'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 24, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadions Skonto
  • Vladimirs Kamess 10' yellowcard
  • Janis Ikaunieks 40' goal
  • Antonijs Cernomordijs 53' yellowcard
  • Kriss Karklins 79' yellowcard
  • Kristers Tobers 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Stevan Jovetic 41'
  • yellowcard Igor Vujacic 45'
  • goal Stevan Jovetic 83'
International Friendlies
Oct 7, 2020 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Pod Goricom
  • Igor Ivanovic 90'+1' goal
  • goal Igors Tarasovs 26'
  • yellowcard Kristers Tobers 45'
  • yellowcard Eduards Emsis 50'
  • yellowcard Eduards TÄ«denbergs 55'
  • yellowcard Arturs Zjuzins 83'
International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2020 7.45pm