Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Alaves |
| 49.83% | 27.22% | 22.95% |
| Both teams to score 43.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.59% | 60.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.45% | 80.54% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% | 24.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% | 58.86% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.71% | 42.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.31% | 78.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.56% 2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.27% Total : 49.83% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.1% Total : 22.95% |