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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 24, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Mallorca logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 0
Mallorca


Lopez (38'), Ciss (75')
FT

Mascarell (45+2'), Samu (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-2 Getafe
Sunday, May 18 at 6pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawMallorca
53.79% (0.045000000000002 0.05)24.42% (-0.029 -0.03)21.79% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.96% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (0.091999999999999 0.09)51.37% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.079000000000001 0.08)73.19% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (0.052000000000007 0.05)19.03% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.4% (0.088000000000001 0.09)50.6% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)38.3% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (0.033999999999999 0.03)75.06% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 53.79%
    Mallorca 21.79%
    Draw 24.41%
Rayo VallecanoDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 53.79%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 21.79%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca

Rayo Vallecano
69.2%
Draw
17.9%
Mallorca
12.8%
39
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 10
Mallorca
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Muriqi (75')
Morlanes (38')

Mumin (37')
Feb 11, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 24
Mallorca
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Sanchez (48'), Muriqi (90+1')
Nastasic (1'), Muriqi (39'), Rodriguez (41'), Prats (90+5')
Garcia (76')
Sep 30, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Mallorca
Garcia (4'), Falcao (90+12' pen.)
Lopez (43'), de Tomas (90+4')
Muriqi (44'), Sanchez (59')
Darder (83'), Costa (90+2'), Gonzalez (90+5'), Ndiaye (90+6'), Mascarell (90+10')
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Mallorca
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
Muriqi (51'), Copete (71'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Aug 27, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 3
Rayo Vallecano
0-2
Mallorca

Valentin (66')
Muriqi (13'), Kang-in (64')
Grenier (62'), Sanchez (73'), Copete (79')