Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.