Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Getafe |
| 29.25% | 29.58% | 41.17% |
| Both teams to score 42.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.35% | 64.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.36% | 83.64% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.9% | 39.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.18% | 75.82% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% | 30.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% | 67.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.51% Total : 29.24% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 12.1% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 14.19% 0-2 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-3 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.17% |