MX23RW : Friday, March 29 15:24:54| >> :120:31022:31022:
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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Final | 2nd Leg
May 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Dundee logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Dundee

Lafferty (69' pen.)
Tshibola (55'), McKenzie (73'), Whitehall (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mullen (7'), Ashcroft (12')

Preview: Kilmarnock vs. Dundee - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Dundee hold a narrow advantage over Kilmarnock heading into the second leg of their Scottish Premiership playoff final at Rugby Park on Monday evening.

The second-tier side won Thursday's first leg 2-1 at Dens Park and will now be looking to complete the job against their top-flight opponents in East Ayrshire.


Match preview

General view of Rugby Park, home to Kilmarnock, from 2011© Reuters

Kilmarnock have spent the past 28 years in the Scottish Premiership, but that is under real threat following their defeat in the opening 90 minutes of this finely-poised tie.

Jordan McGhee poked home in the early stages for Dundee and Charlie Adam side-footed in a second shortly after half time to leave Dees fans dreaming of a top-flight return.

However, Brandon Haunstrup's rifled finish 13 minutes from time ensures that Killie are still very much alive with at least 90 more minutes to play.

That strike from Haunstrup was Kilmarnock's only shot on target of the match, so Tommy Wright will know that a vast improvement is needed on Monday.

Indeed, opposite number James McPake will perhaps look back on the first leg and wonder how his side are not in a more commanding position after dominating in front of 5,000 fans.

That win means Dundee have now won four of their last five matches and have lost just one of their last nine, while Kilmarnock have won just one of their last five.

The hosts will fancy their chances of scoring at least once on Monday, though, as Dundee conceded 40 goals in the regular Championship season - only Alloa Athletic and Queen of the South shipped more goals.

Killie have lost only one of their last seven games at Rugby Park, but the Dees have been very strong on their travels, winning four and drawing two of their last six.

More impressive than that, McPake's charges have conceded only one goal across that period. Another clean sheet on Monday and they will be back in the top flight following a two-year absence.

Six of the last 13 meetings between the sides since February 2016 have finished all square, with Killie winning four and Dundee prevailing three times.

Kilmarnock form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L

Dundee form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Kyle Lafferty warms up for Northern Ireland on November 7, 2017© Reuters

Kilmarnock are still without striker Nicke Kabamba, who has been ruled out for the past month with a hamstring injury.

Midfielder Youssouf Mulumbu will also play no part, meanwhile, having made an abrupt exit from the club supposedly over a lack of first-team appearances.

Kyle Lafferty did not enjoy the finest of first legs, but he has 12 goals in 11 appearances since joining in February, making him the club's leading goalscorer this term.

As for Dundee, they lost Christie Elliott to a knee injury in the first leg and the 29-year-old will have to be assessed ahead of this match.

Finlay Robertson and Josh Mulligan are both nursing injuries, meanwhile, but Liam Fontaine returned to action in the first leg and will be okay to start again here.

Kilmarnock possible starting lineup:
Legzdins; Elliott, Ashcroft, Fontaine, Kerr; McGhee, Byrne; McGowan, Adam, McMullan; Mullen

Dundee possible starting lineup:
Doyle; Millen, Broadfoot, Rossi, Haunstrup; Power, Dicker; Burke, Kiltie, Pinnock; Lafferty


SM words green background

We say: Kilmarnock 3-1 Dundee (4-3 on aggregate)

Dundee could have been out of sight against Kilmarnock in the first leg, but as it is they have only a one-goal lead to take into this return match.

Killie will be desperate to preserve their top-flight status for a 29th year, and we can see them producing an improved display to turn the tie around on Monday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Dundee

Kilmarnock
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Dundee
25.0%
56
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Paul McGowan of Dundee during the Pre Season Friendly match between Morecambe and Dundee at the Globe Arena on July 19, 2014
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