J1 League Gameweek 14
Nov 7, 2026 6.00am
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 5.00am
Okayama 0 - 4 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Motoki Nagakura

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 6.00am
Kashima Antlers 4 - 1 Cerezo
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Léo Ceará

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Kashima Antlers has a probability of 29.04% and a draw has a probability of 25.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Kashima Antlers win is 1-2 (7.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.48%).

Result

FC Tokyo 45.39% ▲ (+0.61)
Draw 25.54% ▼ (-0.09)
Kashima Antlers 29.04% ▼ (-0.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.58% ▲ (+0.55)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.49% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 1.5 19.51% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 2.5 58.08% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 2.5 41.92% ▼ (-0.76)
Over 3.5 35.66% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 3.5 64.34% ▼ (-0.85)
Over 4.5 21.46% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 4.5 78.54% ▼ (-0.72)

First Half Winner

FC Tokyo 34.87% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 42.65% ▲ (+0.36)
Kashima Antlers 22.48% ▼ (-0.18)

Team To Score First

FC Tokyo 53.94% ▼ (-0.20)
No Goal 5.38% ▼ (-0.13)
Kashima Antlers 40.68% ▲ (+0.32)

Corners

Over 8 54.85% ▲ (+0.79)
Equal 8 11.68% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 8 33.47% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 9 43.22% ▲ (+0.80)
Equal 9 11.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 45.15% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 10.5 32.58% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 10.5 67.42% ▼ (-0.75)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 1.5 48.55% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 1.5 51.45% ▼ (-1.03)
Over 2.5 23% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 2.5 77% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 3.5 9.18% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 3.5 90.82% ▼ (-0.53)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5 66.94% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 33.06% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 1.5 35.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.06% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 45.39%
Draw 25.54%
Kashima Antlers 29.04%
FC Tokyo
2-1 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.48)
Total : 45.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 25.54%
Kashima Antlers
1-2 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.09)
0-1 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.16)
1-3 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 29.04%

Head to Head

J1 League
Aug 10, 2025 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 4
Mar 1, 2025 5.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kashima Soccer Stadium
  • Yuma Suzuki 74' goal
  • Yuma Suzuki 74' goal
  • Shu Morooka 90'+1' goal
  • Shu Morooka 90'+1' goal
  • Ryuta Koike 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Ryuta Koike 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kei Koizumi 65'
  • yellowcard Kei Koizumi 65'
  • yellowcard Kei Koizumi 65'
  • yellowcard Kei Koizumi 65'
  • yellowcard Teppei Oka 90'
  • yellowcard Teppei Oka 90'
  • yellowcard Keita Yamashita 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Keita Yamashita 90'+2'
J1 League Gameweek 24
Jul 20, 2024 10.00am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Kashima Soccer Stadium
  • Ranko Popovic 24' yellowcard
  • Ranko Popovic 24' yellowcard
  • Shintaro Nago 30' goal
  • Shintaro Nago 30' goal
  • Kimito Nono 47' goal
  • Kimito Nono 47' goal
  • Soma Anzai 79' yellowcard
  • Soma Anzai 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Soma Anzai 37'
  • yellowcard Soma Anzai 37'
  • goal Keita Endo 41'
  • goal Keita Endo 41'
  • yellowcard Kei Chinen 85'
  • yellowcard Teppei Oka 85'
  • yellowcard Kei Chinen 85'
  • yellowcard Teppei Oka 85'
J1 League Gameweek 7
Apr 7, 2024 9.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Kei Koizumi 39' yellowcard
  • Teruhito Nakagawa 55' goal
  • Kosuke Shirai 66' yellowcard
  • Riki Harakawa 90'+7' goal
J1 League Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 11.00am
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Diego Oliveira 9' goal
  • goal Yuma Suzuki 23'
  • goal Yuki Kakita 45'
  • goal Diego Pituca 54'
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 20, 2023 7.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Kashima Soccer Stadium
  • Yuki Kakita 6' goal
  • goal Diego Oliveira 28'