J1 League Gameweek 13
Oct 31, 2026 5.00am
City Light Stadium

Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 7.00am
Kawasaki 2 - 1 Okayama
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Kota Kawano

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 7.00am
FC Tokyo 6 - 0 Mito Hollyhock
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Motoki Nagakura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw has a probability of 27.57% and a win for Fagiano Okayama has a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.55%) , while for a Fagiano Okayama win it is 1-0 (8.33%).

Result

Fagiano Okayama 23.88% ▲ (+0.58)
Draw 27.57% ▲ (+0.04)
FC Tokyo 48.55% ▼ (-0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.34% ▲ (+0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.08% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 30.92% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 2.5 43.31% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 56.69% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 21.97% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 78.03% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 4.5 11.58% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 4.5 88.42% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Fagiano Okayama 19.07% ▲ (+0.52)
Draw 46.37% ▼ (-0.07)
FC Tokyo 34.56% ▼ (-0.45)

Team To Score First

Fagiano Okayama 35.6% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 9.45% ▼ (-0.13)
FC Tokyo 54.95% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 62.29% ▼ (-0.72)
Equal 8 10.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 26.88% ▲ (+0.74)
Over 9 50.85% ▼ (-0.62)
Equal 9 11.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 37.71% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 10.5 39.77% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 10.5 60.23% ▲ (+0.48)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 1.5 23.07% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 1.5 76.93% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 2.5 6.95% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 2.5 93.05% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 1.58% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 98.42% ▼ (-0.10)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5 75.68% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 0.5 24.32% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 42.22% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 1.5 57.78% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 2.5 18.02% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 81.98% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 6.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 93.82% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Fagiano Okayama 23.88%
Draw 27.57%
FC Tokyo 48.57%
Fagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 23.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.57%
FC Tokyo
0-1 @ 13.16% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.21)
1-2 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 48.57%

Head to Head

J1 League
Oct 25, 2025 6.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 9
Apr 6, 2025 5.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT City Light Stadium
  • Kaito Fujii 41' yellowcard
  • Kaito Fujii 41' yellowcard
  • Masaya Matsumoto 47' goal
  • Ryo Tabei 61' goal
  • Ryo Tabei 61' goal
  • yellowcard Kento Hashimoto 18'
  • yellowcard Kento Hashimoto 18'