J1 League Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
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HT : 0 0
LIVE City Light Stadium
  • Ataru Esaka 52' goal
  • Haruka Motoyama 59' yellowcard

Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 5.55am
Okayama 0 - 3 Vissel Kobe
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Kota Kawano

Mito Hollyhock

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 8.00am
Mito Hollyhock 0 - 1 Urawa
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Arata Watanabe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fagiano Okayama win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Mito Hollyhock has a probability of 31.66% and a draw has a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fagiano Okayama win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Mito Hollyhock win is 0-1 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.34%).

Result

Fagiano Okayama 41.83% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 26.51% ▼ (-0.31)
Mito Hollyhock 31.66% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.33% ▲ (+0.93)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.28% ▲ (+1.10)
Under 1.5 25.72% ▼ (-1.11)
Over 2.5 50.18% ▲ (+1.75)
Under 2.5 49.82% ▼ (-1.75)
Over 3.5 28.01% ▲ (+1.88)
Under 3.5 71.99% ▼ (-1.88)
Over 4.5 15.43% ▲ (+1.28)
Under 4.5 84.57% ▼ (-1.29)

First Half Winner

Fagiano Okayama 30.39% ▼ (-1.24)
Draw 44.54% ▲ (+0.70)
Mito Hollyhock 25.07% ▲ (+0.54)

Team To Score First

Fagiano Okayama 49.39% ▼ (-0.82)
No Goal 7.27% ▼ (-0.35)
Mito Hollyhock 43.34% ▲ (+1.16)

Corners

Over 8 56.07% ▲ (+3.50)
Equal 8 11.68% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 8 32.25% ▼ (-3.36)
Over 9 44.34% ▲ (+3.32)
Equal 9 11.74% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 9 43.93% ▼ (-3.50)
Over 10.5 33.51% ▲ (+2.86)
Under 10.5 66.49% ▼ (-2.86)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 1.5 40.83% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 1.5 59.17% ▼ (-1.24)
Over 2.5 17.37% ▲ (+1.14)
Under 2.5 82.63% ▼ (-1.14)
Over 3.5 5.85% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 3.5 94.15% ▼ (-0.56)

Mito Hollyhock Goals

Over 0.5 66.75% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 0.5 33.25% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 1.5 32.87% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 1.5 67.13% ▼ (-0.99)
Over 2.5 12.02% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 2.5 87.98% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 3.5 3.65% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 3.5 96.35% ▼ (-0.32)

Score analysis

Fagiano Okayama 41.84%
Draw 26.51%
Mito Hollyhock 31.66%
Fagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.51)
2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.28)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.19)
3-0 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.26)
Other @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.56)
Total : 41.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.34% ▼ (-0.40)
0-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.35)
2-2 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.33)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.51%
Mito Hollyhock
0-1 @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.22)
1-2 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.32)
Total : 31.66%