J1 League Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
LIVE Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Hayato Inamura 12' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yudai Konishi 44'

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 6.00am
Tokyo Verdy 0 - 4 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Motoki Nagakura

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 11.00am
Reysol 1 - 3 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Yusuke Segawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol has a probability of 30.16% and a draw has a probability of 25.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win is 1-2 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.65%).

Result

FC Tokyo 44.61% ▲ (+0.61)
Draw 25.23% ▼ (-0.06)
Kashiwa Reysol 30.16% ▼ (-0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.26% ▲ (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.29% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 1.5 20.71% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 2.5 56.51% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 2.5 43.49% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 3.5 34.2% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 3.5 65.8% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 4.5 19.8% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 4.5 80.2% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

FC Tokyo 30.58% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 43.08% ▼ (-0.11)
Kashiwa Reysol 26.34% ▲ (+0.27)

Team To Score First

FC Tokyo 51.38% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 5.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Kashiwa Reysol 43.28% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 49.66% ▲ (+0.43)
Equal 8 11.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 38.78% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 9 38.6% ▲ (+0.43)
Equal 9 11.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 50.34% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 10.5 28.84% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 10.5 71.16% ▼ (-0.39)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 1.5 46.8% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 1.5 53.2% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 2.5 21.35% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 2.5 78.65% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 3.5 8% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 3.5 92% ▼ (-0.29)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5 68.04% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 31.96% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 34.97% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 65.03% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 13.93% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 86.07% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 4.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 95.42% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 44.62%
Draw 25.24%
Kashiwa Reysol 30.16%
FC Tokyo
2-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.15)
1-0 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.28)
Total : 44.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.24%
Kashiwa Reysol
1-2 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 30.16%

Head to Head

J1 League
Jul 5, 2025 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tojiro Kubo 73' goal
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 11, 2025 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Teruhito Nakagawa 35' goal
  • Taishi Brandon Nozawa 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuto Yamada 60'
  • yellowcard Yoshio Koizumi 80'
  • yellowcard Wataru Harada 82'
  • goal Kosuke Kinoshita 90'+4'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2024 2.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
J1 League Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 11.30am
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
  • Diego 14' goal
  • Tomoki Takamine 32' goal
  • Takuya Shimamura 84' yellowcard
  • Sachiro Toshima 90'+4' goal
  • goal Diego Oliveira 2'
  • goal Teppei Oka 86'
J1 League Gameweek 13
May 11, 2024 9.00am
3
3
HT : 3 1
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Teruhito Nakagawa 6' goal
  • Diego Oliveira 32' goal
  • Kuryu Matsuki 37' goal
  • Go Hatano 45'+2' redcard
  • goal Matheus Savio 2'
  • yellowcard Diego 30'
  • goal Tomoya Inukai 46'
  • yellowcard Hiroki Sekine 45'+1'
  • goal Takuya Shimamura 58'
  • yellowcard Matheus Savio 62'
J1 League Gameweek 19
Jul 1, 2023 11.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Diego Oliveira 35' goal