J1 League Gameweek 12
Oct 25, 2026 7.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
  • Derik Lacerda 12' goal
  • Marcinho 51' goal
  • Derik Lacerda 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoshitake Suzuki 27'
  • yellowcard Lucão 45'+3'
  • goal Oberdan 75'

Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
Kawasaki 2 - 1 Vissel Kobe
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Marcinho

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
Okayama 2 - 0 Mito Hollyhock
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Kota Kawano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Fagiano Okayama has a probability of 26.63% and a draw has a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win is 1-2 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.34%).

Result

Kawasaki Frontale 48.65% ▼ (-0.72)
Draw 24.71% ▼ (-0.24)
Fagiano Okayama 26.63% ▲ (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.96% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.33% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 21.67% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 55.64% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 44.33% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 32.66% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 67.34% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 19.2% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 80.8% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Kawasaki Frontale 33.66% ▼ (-0.75)
Draw 43.76% ▲ (+2.12)
Fagiano Okayama 22.58% ▼ (-1.38)

Team To Score First

Kawasaki Frontale 51.83% ▼ (-0.93)
No Goal 5.82% ▼ (-0.15)
Fagiano Okayama 42.35% ▲ (+1.08)

Corners

Over 8 61.39% ▼ (-0.72)
Equal 8 10.85% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 27.76% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 9 50.02% ▼ (-0.76)
Equal 9 11.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 38.61% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 10.5 39.08% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 10.5 60.92% ▲ (+0.75)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 1.5 48.8% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 1.5 51.2% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 2.5 23.46% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 2.5 76.54% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 3.5 9.07% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 90.93% ▲ (+0.12)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5 63.48% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 0.5 36.52% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 1.5 31.12% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 1.5 68.88% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 2.5 11.34% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 2.5 88.66% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 3.5 3.52% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 3.5 96.48% ▼ (-0.34)

Score analysis

Kawasaki Frontale 48.66%
Draw 24.72%
Fagiano Okayama 26.63%
Kawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.14)
1-0 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 48.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.72%
Fagiano Okayama
1-2 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.17)
0-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 26.63%

Head to Head

J1 League
Nov 8, 2025 6.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 6
Mar 16, 2025 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT City Light Stadium
  • yellowcard Erison 41'
  • yellowcard Erison 41'
  • yellowcard Tatsuya Ito 43'
  • yellowcard Tatsuya Ito 43'