J1 League Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2026 7.00am
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Kashima Soccer Stadium
  • Homare Tokuda 14' goal
  • Aleksandar Cavric 88' goal
  • goal Keita Endo 35'
  • yellowcard Nobuteru Nakagawa 39'
  • goal Hinata Yamauchi 45'+1'
  • goal Hinata Yamauchi 59'

Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashima Antlers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 2 Kashima Antlers
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Léo Ceará

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2026 11.00am
FC Tokyo 0 - 0 Reysol
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Yusuke Segawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 49.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.23% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 24.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.06%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%) , while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

Kashima Antlers 49.89% ▲ (+0.54)
Draw 25.23% ▲ (+0.18)
Kashiwa Reysol 24.85% ▼ (-0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.17% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.33% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 1.5 23.67% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 2.5 52.08% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 2.5 47.92% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 3.5 29.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 70.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 16.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.44% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Kashima Antlers 34.51% ▲ (+1.27)
Draw 40.85% ▼ (-0.66)
Kashiwa Reysol 24.64% ▼ (-0.60)

Team To Score First

Kashima Antlers 52.71% ▲ (+1.83)
No Goal 6.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Kashiwa Reysol 40.85% ▼ (-1.83)

Corners

Over 8 53.64% ▲ (+1.65)
Equal 8 11.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 34.97% ▼ (-1.61)
Over 9 42.42% ▲ (+1.56)
Equal 9 11.22% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 9 46.36% ▼ (-1.65)
Over 10.5 32.23% ▲ (+1.34)
Under 10.5 67.77% ▼ (-1.35)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 1.5 47.97% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 1.5 52.03% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 2.5 22.2% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 2.5 77.8% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 3.5 8.31% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 91.69% ▼ (-0.19)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5 61.46% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 0.5 38.54% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 1.5 27.69% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 72.31% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 9.52% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 90.48% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 2.67% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.33% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Kashima Antlers 49.88%
Draw 25.23%
Kashiwa Reysol 24.85%
Kashima Antlers
1-0 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 10.06% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.36)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 49.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 25.23%
Kashiwa Reysol
0-1 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.29)
1-2 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.23)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 24.85%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 24
Jul 20, 2025 10.00am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 7.00am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
  • Koki Kumasaka 55' yellowcard
  • Koki Kumasaka 55' yellowcard
  • Tojiro Kubo 57' goal
  • Tojiro Kubo 57' goal
  • goal Leo Ceara 26'
  • goal Leo Ceara 26'
  • goal Leo Ceara 50'
  • goal Leo Ceara 50'
  • goal Leo Ceara 62'
  • goal Leo Ceara 62'
  • yellowcard Yuta Higuchi 69'
  • yellowcard Yuta Higuchi 69'
J1 League Gameweek 31
Sep 21, 2024 10.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kashima Soccer Stadium
  • yellowcard Tomoya Inukai 13'
  • yellowcard Tomoya Inukai 13'
  • yellowcard Sachiro Toshima 26'
  • yellowcard Sachiro Toshima 26'
  • yellowcard Mao Hosoya 34'
J1 League Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 8.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
  • Hiromu Mitsumaru 41' yellowcard
  • Naoki Kawaguchi 51' yellowcard
  • Sachiro Toshima 60' yellowcard
  • Takuya Shimamura 65' goal
  • goal Shintaro Nago 4'
  • yellowcard Naomichi Ueda 71'
  • goal Aleksandar Cavric 90'+2'
J1 League Gameweek 32
Nov 11, 2023 6.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kashima Soccer Stadium
  • Diego Pituca 87' goal
  • yellowcard Taiyo Koga 54'
  • yellowcard Tomoki Takamine 75'
  • goal Mao Hosoya 77'
  • yellowcard Diego 89'
J1 League Gameweek 7
Apr 9, 2023 11.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
  • Mao Hosoya 32' goal