J1 League | Gameweek 18

May 24, 2025 at 7am UK

KINCHO Stadium

Cerezo
2 - 0
Avispa Fukuoka

Shibayama (84'), Ratao (90+8')
Fernandes (53'), Kitano (64'), Kagawa (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tashiro (20'), Matsuoka (33'), Maejima (50')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Kawasaki 2-0 Cerezo
Sunday, May 18 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 17 at 6.30am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
41.94% ( -0.34)	26.78% ( -0.21)	31.28% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 50.6% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.69% (

54.31% (

-1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.3% (

0.83)

75.7% (

-0.83)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42% (

0.28)

25.57% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.55% (

0.38)

60.45% (

-0.38)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.99% (

0.91)

32.01% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.53% (

1.02)

68.47% (

-1.02)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 41.94%

Avispa Fukuoka 31.28%

Draw 26.77%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.94%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.28%