J1 League Gameweek 18
May 24, 2025 7.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT KINCHO Stadium
  • Lucas Fernandes 53' yellowcard
  • Sota Kitano 64' yellowcard
  • Shinji Kagawa 75' yellowcard
  • Masaya Shibayama 84' goal
  • Rafael Ratao 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Masaya Tashiro 20'
  • yellowcard Daiki Matsuoka 33'
  • yellowcard Yota Maejima 50'

Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 7.00am
Kawasaki 2 - 0 Cerezo
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Rafael Ratao

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2025 6.30am
Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Tomoya Miki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result

Cerezo Osaka 41.94% (-0.34)
Draw 26.78% (-0.22)
Avispa Fukuoka 31.28% (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.6% (+0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.69% (+1.01)
Under 2.5 54.31% (-1.01)
Over 3.5 24.3% (+0.84)
Under 3.5 75.7% (-0.83)
Over 4.5 10.92% (+0.52)
Under 4.5 89.08% (-0.52)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 74.42% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 25.57% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 39.55% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 60.45% (-0.39)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5 67.99% (+0.91)
Under 0.5 32.01% (-0.91)
Over 1.5 31.53% (+1.03)
Under 1.5 68.47% (-1.03)

Score analysis

Cerezo Osaka 41.94%
Draw 26.77%
Avispa Fukuoka 31.28%
Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.35)
2-1 @ 8.67% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 3.94% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.24% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.34% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.94% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.77%
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 7.24% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 5.31% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.75% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2.02% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.88% (+0.10)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.28%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 36
Nov 9, 2024 6.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT KINCHO Stadium
  • Shunta Tanaka 30' yellowcard
  • Shunta Tanaka 30' yellowcard
  • Lucas Fernandes 39' yellowcard
  • Lucas Fernandes 39' yellowcard
  • Hiroaki Okuno 76' yellowcard
  • Hiroaki Okuno 76' yellowcard
  • Shunta Tanaka 81' goal
  • Shunta Tanaka 81' goal
  • yellowcard Hiroyuki Mae 19'
  • yellowcard Hiroyuki Mae 19'
J1 League Gameweek 15
May 18, 2024 8.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)
  • Douglas Grolli 7' yellowcard
  • Kazuya Konno 21' yellowcard
  • Shahab Zahedi 31' yellowcard
  • Tatsuki Nara 39' yellowcard
  • Shahab Zahedi 61' redcard
  • Takeshi Kanamori 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Leo Ceara 9'
  • goal Shunta Tanaka 29'
  • yellowcard Hirotaka Tameda 84'
  • goal Hirotaka Tameda 90'+7'
J1 League Gameweek 19
Jun 30, 2023 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai
  • goal Lukian 22'
J1 League Gameweek 2
Feb 25, 2023 6.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Level-5 stadium
  • Hiroyuki Mae 47' goal
  • Takeshi Kanamori 88' goal
  • goal Satoki Uejo 59'
J1 League Gameweek 23
Jul 30, 2022 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matej Jonjic 5' goal
  • Satoki Uejo 71' goal
  • Koji Toriumi 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tatsuki Nara 56'
  • yellowcard Yuta Kumamoto 67'
  • yellowcard Yota Maejima 79'
J1 League Gameweek 9
Apr 17, 2022 9.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daiki Miya 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jin-Hyeon Kim 84'