Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.