Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.71%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.