Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Maccabi Haifa in this match.