Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 4

Apr 14, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium

H. Be'er Sheva
3 - 1
Beitar

Kangwa (19'), Vitor (90+4'), Ganah (90+10')
Vitor (71'), Baltaksa (76'), Medeiros (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

George (30')
Morozov (11'), George (27')
Yona (43')

Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Beitar Jerusalem.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

All competitions

Last Game: M. Haifa 0-3 H. Be'er Sheva
Monday, April 7 at 6.30pm in Israeli Premier League

Goals
for

Beitar Jerusalem

All competitions

Last Game: Beitar 0-1 H. Haifa
Sunday, April 6 at 6.15pm in Israeli Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Hapoel Be'er Sheva	Draw	Beitar Jerusalem
37.31% ( 0.04)	23.85% ( 0)	38.84% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 62.02% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.85% (

-0.02)

40.15% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.48% (

-0.02)

62.52% (

0.02)

Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.38% (

0.01)

21.62% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.26% (

0.02)

54.73% (

-0.01)

Beitar Jerusalem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.12% (

-0.03)

20.87% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.42% (

-0.04)

53.57% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Be'er Sheva 37.31%

Beitar Jerusalem 38.84%

Draw 23.85%

Hapoel Be'er Sheva	Draw	Beitar Jerusalem
2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.31%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.85%	1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 38.84%