Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.