Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Ironi Tiberias had a probability of 10.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.11%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Ironi Tiberias win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.