Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 65.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Ashdod had a probability of 14.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.71%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for an Ashdod win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva in this match.