Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bnei Sakhnin win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Ashdod had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bnei Sakhnin win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Ashdod win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bnei Sakhnin would win this match.