Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Maccabi Netanya had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Maccabi Netanya win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.