Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 26
Mar 10, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Teddi Malcha Stadium

Beitar
1 - 1
H. Be'er Sheva

Atzili (31')
Marcelin (23'), Muzi (29'), Levi (53'), Morozov (63'), Dahan (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kangwa (13')
Ponck (66'), Ventura (84'), Medeiros (90+5')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Be'er Sheva.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: M. Petah Tikva 1-2 Beitar
Sunday, March 2 at 6.15pm in Israeli Premier League
Last Game: H. Be'er Sheva 3-3 M. Haifa
Monday, March 3 at 6.30pm in Israeli Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Beitar JerusalemDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
37.46% (-0.711 -0.71)25.84% (0.249 0.25)36.7% (0.468 0.47)
Both teams to score 54.79% (-0.836 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.53% (-1.08 -1.08)49.46% (1.084 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (-0.979 -0.98)71.5% (0.982 0.98)
Beitar Jerusalem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (-0.889 -0.89)25.76% (0.893 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (-1.221 -1.22)60.7% (1.225 1.23)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)26.19% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (-0.322 -0.32)61.29% (0.327 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Beitar Jerusalem 37.46%
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 36.7%
    Draw 25.84%
Beitar JerusalemDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.171 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.46%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.75% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 9.04% (0.333 0.33)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.183 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.7%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 13
H. Be'er Sheva
4-1
Beitar
Kangwa (4'), Biton (8', 46'), Stoyanov (13')
Farhud (45+1'), Vitor (56')
George (77')
Cohen (45'), George (87'), Morozov (87')
Mar 4, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 24
H. Be'er Sheva
1-0
Beitar
Lopes (36')
Turgeman (90+2')

Micha (21'), Khorkheli (51'), Silva (52'), Galabov (89')
Dec 23, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Beitar
4-4
H. Be'er Sheva
Yona (31'), Shua (40'), Morozov (43'), Shamir (80' og.)
Muzi (54'), Morozov (68')
Turgeman (8'), Badash (52' pen.), Hatuel (58'), Stoyanov (86')
Lopes (62')
rhs 2.0


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