Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.