Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Maccabi Netanya had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Maccabi Netanya win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.