Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 62.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hapoel Haifa had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 0-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Hapoel Haifa win it was 2-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.