Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.