Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Hapoel Haifa had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 0-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Hapoel Haifa win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.