Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.