Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 63.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.32% and a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%) , while for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.