Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 (7.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.