Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Ashdod had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Ashdod win was 1-0 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.