Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 (9.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.