Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Hapoel Haifa had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ashdod win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Hapoel Haifa win was 1-0 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.