Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Haifa win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Ironi Tiberias had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Ironi Tiberias win was 1-2 (7.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.