Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Netanya win with a probability of 54.4%. A win for Ashdod had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Netanya win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Ashdod win was 2-1 (5.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.