Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.09% and a win for Maccabi Bnei Raina had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%) , while for a Maccabi Bnei Raina win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.