Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Netanya win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Netanya win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-2 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.