Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 42.31%. A draw had a probability of 29.45% and a win for Bnei Sakhnin had a probability of 28.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%) , while for a Bnei Sakhnin win it was 0-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.