International Friendlies
Dec 25, 2023 3.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion im. Dolena Omurzakova

Uzbekistan vs Kyrgyzstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 12.35pm
Vietnam 0 - 2 Uzbekistan

Kyrgyzstan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 15, 2023 8.00am
Kyrgyzstan 0 - 1 Philippines

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 61.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result

Uzbekistan 61.45% (+53.45)
Draw 21.78% (+6.24)
Kyrgyzstan 16.78% (-59.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.72% (+7.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.59% (-5.60)
Under 2.5 47.41% (+5.61)
Over 3.5 30.37% (-5.42)
Under 3.5 69.63% (+5.42)
Over 4.5 14.93% (-3.93)
Under 4.5 85.07% (+3.94)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5 85.09% (+38.15)
Under 0.5 14.92% (-38.15)
Over 1.5 56.7% (+43.40)
Under 1.5 43.3% (-43.39)

Kyrgyzstan Goals

Over 0.5 58.43% (-32.40)
Under 0.5 41.57% (+32.40)
Over 1.5 21.94% (-46.97)
Under 1.5 78.06% (+46.98)

Score analysis

Uzbekistan 61.44%
Draw 21.77%
Kyrgyzstan 16.78%
Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 11.79% (+8.71)
2-0 @ 11.22% (-86.48)
2-1 @ 9.85% (+7.52)
3-0 @ 7.12% (-13.49)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-43.06)
4-0 @ 3.39% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-4.83)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-56.16)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-8.00)
5-0 @ 1.29% (+0.89)
5-1 @ 1.13% (+0.14)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 61.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% (+2.99)
0-0 @ 6.2% (+1.34)
2-2 @ 4.33% (+1.54)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.77%
Kyrgyzstan
0-1 @ 5.44% (-6.18)
1-2 @ 4.55% (-4.26)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-11.50)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-5.68)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.96)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 16.78%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 25, 2022 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Markaziy Stadion
  • Eldor Shomurodov 64' goal
  • Igor Sergeev 84' goal
  • Igor Sergeev 90' goal
  • goal Mirlan Murzaev 6'
International Friendlies
Nov 9, 2019 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion (Toshkent (Tashkent))
  • Igor Sergeev 11' goal
  • Dostonbek Khamdanov 53' goal
  • Jamshid Iskanderov 80' goal
  • goal Farhad Musabekov 30'