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Hellas Verona logo
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Jul 9, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Marc Antonio Bentegodi
Inter logo
Hellas Verona
2 - 2
Inter Milan
Lazovic (2'), Veloso (86')
Dimarco (29'), Gunter (37'), Amrabat (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Candreva (49'), Dimarco (55' og.)
Valero (45+2'), Young (65')

Preview: Hellas Verona vs. Inter Milan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A fixture between Hellas Verona and Inter Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Inter Milan make the trip to Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi to face Hellas Verona knowing that they realistically require maximum points if they are to remain in the Serie A title race.

Meanwhile, Verona are under pressure to improve on a run of just one win in four games, which has left the club battling to remain in contention for a Europa League spot.


Match preview

A despairing Inter Milan boss Antonio Conte on October 2, 2019© Reuters

Through the opening six months of this season, Inter were regarded as the main challengers to long-time champions Juventus, often exchanging leads with their rivals who were struggling for consistency.

However, Inter's home defeat to Bologna has resulted in Antonio Conte's side now trailing the frontrunners by 11 points, leaving them with an almost impossible task.

While Conte will stress to his players that they must keep believing until Juve cannot be mathematically chased down, the head coach will acknowledge that they realistically must put together a 100% record until the end of the season.

More frustratingly for Conte, dropping five points in recent weeks is a result of capitulations at San Siro, which have undermined their comeback victory at Parma.

Although second position remains a realistic possibility, I Nerazzurri now only hold a one-point advantage over fourth-placed Atalanta BC.

On a positive note, they are squaring off against opponents in Hellas Verona, who have displayed similar frailties since the resumption of action.

Seven of the last 10 goals which they have conceded have come in the second half, three of which have been scored in the 90th minute or added-on time.

Such a record suggests that Ivan Juric's side have been behind their opponents in terms of fitness or are struggling to cope with the expectations of being in the race for Europe, a year on from having earned a return back to the top flight.

While there is still time to challenge the likes of Napoli and AC Milan for sixth spot, a third defeat in five matches on Thursday night would leave Verona at risk of dropping down to 12th place.

Hellas Verona Serie A form: LWLDWL

Inter Milan Serie A form: LWDWWL


Team News

Milan Skriniar in action for Inter Milan in January 2020© Reuters

Inter are able to call upon defender Milan Skriniar, who has been absent for the last three matches through suspension.

However, the centre-back will come into the team as a direct replacement for Alessandro Bastoni after his red card against Bologna.

Nicolo Barella misses out through injury, while Cristiano Biraghi could be preferred to Ashley Young at left wing-back.

Unlike their opponents, Verona head into this contest with a fully-fit squad.

Koray Gunter could be recalled in the centre of defence, with Valerio Verre potentially getting the nod over Fabio Borini further forward.

Hellas Verona possible starting lineup:
Silvestri; Rrahmani, Gunter, Kumbulla; Faraoni, Badu, Amrabat, Lazovic; Zaccagni, Verre; Carmine

Inter Milan possible starting lineup:
Handanovic; Godin, De Vrij, Skriniar; Candreva, Gagliadini, Brozovic, Biraghi; Eriksen; Martinez, Lukaku


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Hellas Verona 1-1 Inter Milan

While Inter can ill-afford any more dropped points, Verona will be placing priority on improving at the back. Taking both things into consideration, we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely scoreline, a result which does not necessarily help either team.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.


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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614

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