Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 21, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marcus Thuram 54' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Bastoni 66' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Bastoni 68' redcard
  • Petar Sučić 72' yellowcard
  • Carlos Augusto 77' goal
  • yellowcard Oleg Ocheretko 36'
  • yellowcard Marlon Gomes 68'

Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Milan

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.3%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (5.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Inter Milan 55.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 22.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Shakhtar Donetsk 22.52% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.35% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.2% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 22.8% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 55.36% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 44.64% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 33.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.59% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Inter Milan 40.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 38.76% ▼ (-0.07)
Shakhtar Donetsk 21.1% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Inter Milan 55.64% ▼ (-0.21)
No Goal 6.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Shakhtar Donetsk 38.1% ▲ (+0.20)

Corners

Over 8 49.53% ▲ (+0.68)
Equal 8 11.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 39.32% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 9 38.86% ▲ (+0.61)
Equal 9 10.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 9 50.47% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 10.5 29.41% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 10.5 70.59% ▼ (-0.49)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 1.5 52.48% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 47.52% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 27.35% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 72.65% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 11.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.68% ▲ (+0.03)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 56.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 43.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 27.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 72.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.1% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 55.31%
Draw 22.18%
Shakhtar Donetsk 22.53%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 11.3% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 11.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 55.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 22.18%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 22.53%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 24, 2021 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Edin Dzeko 61' goal
  • Edin Dzeko 67' goal
  • yellowcard Vitao 49'
Champions League
Sep 28, 2021 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Roberto De Zerbi 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 81'
Champions League
Dec 9, 2020 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Roberto Gagliardini 30' yellowcard
  • Achraf Hakimi 39' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Brozovic 61' yellowcard
  • Antonio Conte 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitao 29'
  • yellowcard Anatolii Trubin 90'+8'
Champions League
Oct 27, 2020 5.55pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 31'
  • yellowcard Arturo Vidal 64'
Europa League
Aug 17, 2020 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Spiel-Arena
  • Lautaro Martinez 19' goal
  • Danilo D'Ambrosio 64' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 74' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 78' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 84' goal
  • yellowcard Taison 58'