Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.