Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Laugardalsvöllur
  • Andri Gudjohnsen 45' goal
  • Stefán Teitur Thórdarson  84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Karol Mets 54'
  • goal Maksim Paskotsi 64'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Peetson  81'

Iceland vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions

Estonia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.14% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%) , while for a Estonia win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Iceland 52.03% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 24.14%
Estonia 23.86% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.84% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 55.31% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 44.69% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 34.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 65.44% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 22.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 77.76% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Iceland 34.8%
Draw 40.78%
Estonia 24.42%

Team To Score First

Iceland 53.06% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Estonia 39.56% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.02%
Equal 8 11.92%
Under 8 32.06%
Over 9 44.03%
Equal 9 11.99%
Under 9 43.98%
Over 10.5 33%
Under 10.5 67%

Iceland Goals

Over 1.5 50.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 49.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 26.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 73.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.3% ▲ (+0.01)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 57.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 42.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 27.87% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 72.13% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 11.38% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 88.62% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.64% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Iceland 52.03%
Draw 24.15%
Estonia 23.87%
Iceland
1-0 @ 10.25% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 11.37%
Total : 52.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.15%
Estonia
1-2 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 23.87%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jan 8, 2023 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio da Nora
  • Andri Gudjohnsen 90'+1' goal
  • goal Sergei Zenjov 45'
International Friendlies
Jan 15, 2019 4.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Aron Elis Thrandarson 21'