Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.04%) and 0-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.