Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.