Conference League Gameweek 1
Oct 15, 2026 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Abdoulie Sanyang 37' goal
  • Alberto del Moral 45' yellowcard
  • Marin Soticek 55' goal
  • Michele Sego 60' yellowcard
  • goal Davy Klaassen 53'

Hajduk Split vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

All competitions

Ajax

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 2-1 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Hajduk Split 29.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.49%
Ajax 45.53%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.6%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.31%
Under 3.5 67.69%
Over 4.5 19.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 80.67% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Hajduk Split 30.09%
Draw 35.96%
Ajax 33.95%

Team To Score First

Hajduk Split 45.45%
No Goal 6.23%
Ajax 48.32%

Corners

Over 8 54.94%
Equal 8 11.78%
Under 8 33.28%
Over 9 43.23%
Equal 9 11.71%
Under 9 45.06%
Over 10.5 32.54%
Under 10.5 67.46%

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 1.5 33.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.72%
Under 3.5 95.28%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 75.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 45.85%
Under 1.5 54.15%
Over 2.5 21.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 78.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.8% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hajduk Split 29.98%
Draw 24.49%
Ajax 45.55%
Hajduk Split
2-1 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.19%
2-0 @ 4.17%
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 29.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.49%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 7.33%
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-3 @ 4.02%
2-3 @ 3.25%
Other @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 45.55%