Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atromitos win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 29.13% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atromitos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%) , while for a AEL Larissa win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.